Since recently , the rising international grain prices , causing people on the global food crisis may occur concerns . China has recently emerged a trend of rising food prices .
Grain purchase price of raw grain in the country index,The first half of the index1Early98Up to 7Month15A few days agoAfter118,Rise up20%. Integrated throughout the country situation,Rice , wheat , corn are the three major varieties of grain prices hit a record high during the first half .So, domestic and international factors that lead to rising housing prices will also lead to substantial increase in food prices in the Mainland ? Why food prices is the property market is a big bad then ?
Recently, the incentive for domestic food prices is due to climatic factors have led to significant cuts in global food . In particular, the main producing areas, global wheat this year, Russia , Ukraine, Kazakhstan and other serious disaster to the weather , the market is expected that these cuts may be the main grain-producing areas , refrain from other major wheat producing areas because of climate anomalies lead to a massive cut . Moreover, domestic food production areas have also undergone major floods and other natural disasters , so that China's grain output this year, plunged a foregone conclusion.
We should also see rapid increases in domestic food commodity factors, in addition to natural disasters , man-made phenomenon of opportunity must not hoard Chaozuo small pretty , because last year the central bank took the unprecedented accommodative monetary policy, these funds began to flow into the property market and the stock market Now the property market downturn and from the outflow , then Chaozuo agricultural products, agricultural products is also fueled some of the important reasons for skyrocketing . For example, green beans , garlic skyrocketing , it would also drive up food prices and the price of vegetables followed . The sharp rise of food commodities , will make the third and fourth quarter CPI showed a rising trend ( of food commodities in the CPI in the weight accounted for more than 30% ) .
To know that food and other things not the same as , or even its importance far beyond the housing , the house can not afford , we can rent , but food is a daily essential needs of the rigidity of the face of rising food prices led price index , This is not only our country 's economic policy dilemma facing , and inflation will lead to social instability. The next policy will take three approaches to solve the food supply instability : 1 , food prices rose too quickly if the Government might take drastic measures to limit the prices , put up food stocks to stabilize prices . 2, combat , punish hoarding Chaozuo food grain merchants ; 3, for the CPI than the warning line , the central bank will raise deposit reserve ratio to , bills and other monetary instruments are returned to the recovery of the market liquidity .
I remember the last round of inflation in 2007 and 2008, then led the CPI as the price of pork rose , we can see , in 2007, consumer prices rose 4.8 percent in food prices of 4.0 percent , residential Prices in the CPI is only 0.6 , and the rest is the price of other goods and services rose 0.2 . At that time, high inflation and rising prices if the government can temporarily tolerate , but the relationship between inflation and social stability problem, and that the government should its tightening monetary policy ( raising interest rates even use tools ), because monetary policy in 2008 revenue Tight and prices high pressure containment policy of double pronged , when real estate prices there , the phenomenon of closing an estate agent (just before the financial crisis was stopped ) . So now seems , will be made up of food inflation , inflation will force the Government to take more stringent measures to curb inflation , due to high prices are supported by liquidity Moreover, the first half of this year, spent most of the credit limit has been , This is definitely the property market is also a big negative .
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