U.S. spy ship in the South China Sea provocative trouble, a lot of people's opinions should be sunk it, give some color to see. But looking at things too full, not the other. According to the current strength of the Chinese Navy, the spy ship sunk by a naturally effortless. However, once the U.S. spy ship sank in China, the United States you can immediately declare war to the United States is the result of provocation. Because the current U.S. interests, most need a war. The United States has always been to war should be the world police itself on justice, he needs a high-sounding excuse that you fired the first in China.

Although European countries made the ancestors of modern war profiteers, the looting of ancient wealth and population by the main objective of the war profiteers, led up to the war demand for commodities, thus the level of wealth. But to say war profiteers of the most successful model, of course, the Yankees. War made the United States earning pours, greatly enhance its international status, a comprehensive World War II the United States than Britain, Germany, the achievements of its world dominance. Later, North Korea, the Cold War, Vietnam, the Gulf, Yugoslavia, Iraq, war, etc., all rely on the United States into war-torn people in other countries, suffered torment, while he had indeed made a fortune. Every time when the United States to rely on war to get rich, not the domestic economic downturn, is experiencing a global economic crisis. Every time the United States did not by any local hit, this is the U.S. location, others can only envy watching. In 2008, the financial crisis, although the mouth of the old Negro Obama Well said, but from the fundamental contradiction of capitalism, its nothing more than to revive the economy by two strokes, first, the emergence of new technologies (eg energy), two is war. But the comparison, the emergence of new technologies may be a very long way, the risk is also large, but perhaps when the time, day lily is cold; the war is a fast treatment of medicine, effective immediately, the United States, risk is small.

Therefore, the United States needed a war. Old nigger Obama look around the world, playing in Europe is equal to playing our ancestors, it is impossible, the risk is large; hit the Middle East now, a gang to life, the saying goes, "afraid of hard cross, cross, not afraid of life," and American military hardware, but also afraid of the gang to life in the Middle East; North Korea also trifled with, but also a life-not; Southeast Asian countries are allies of the United States, is relatively good, so I do not play. Only China is a good place, now known as relatively rich, want to want death for money, often several slap in the face by the U.S. fans still smiling. Therefore, under the old Negro Obama said to the Chinese, and you finding fault with China and more recently, the military stepped up preparations. Therefore, whether it is trouble in spy ship, or restart the arms sales to Taiwan and other allies of the United States, the so-called "new Boxer Rebellion," a provocation to China, not isolated, but closely linked, systems planning and understood by results.

One might ask, China is afraid of the U.S. war? The answer is, from the confidence and courage are not afraid of the point of view, of course, but from the point of view the interests of war, of course, afraid. If the war from the perspective of three grades:

Tactical conflict. If the U.S. spy ship sank in China, the United States is to launch a tactical conflict. So the military level, in the Gulf of Aden to escort of nearly a thousand sailors and three advanced warships will be sacrificed. U.S. Fifth Fleet is based in Bahrain, from the Gulf of Aden is very close to the fleet during the war in Iraq has brought together five aircraft carrier battle groups, accounting for half of the U.S. Navy. Despite the recent strength of the case is not clear, but the U.S. always attaches importance to the Middle East situation, the current strength of the Fifth Fleet, sinking two destroyers should be nothing you problems. Compared the two, people lost only one U.S. spy ship, you lost two destroyers, plus China, a supply ship, the Chinese big loss. If the United States stop there, people can pursue your responsibility to keep the power because you fired the first in China. At the political level, the United States if the kick down three warships to the Gulf of Aden close hand, and China out of rational considerations, then no further action. United States will use the national sentiment aroused by the middle of conflict, relying on its intelligence agencies to support domestic and other separatist forces and pro-democracy movement in 2009, will China's political turmoil this year, implementation of its political attempts to split China and tricks. In fact, this is the usual trick of the United States in 1999, the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia and French Embassy issues * Power is one such substance. But the situation on the international economic and political point of view, once the declaration of war, the United States can not stop there, it would be a regional war.

Local wars. Once the war expand into a regional war, the United States will use chain of islands surrounded advantages, with its allies to block China Sea. The form of limited war should be mainly for sea, air and missile war Biao each other, the strength from both sides, the United States and its allies more than the strength of China has, of course, is the outcome of the war damage each other between the two armies, and the Chinese army greater damage, China's navy and air force advanced warships, aircraft, could lose more than half. But the economic level, the United States will not be affected, southeast coast of China will suffer the pain of air strikes, the achievements of economic development for many years may be a lot of wasted; United States and its allies, the blockade of China's foreign trade in China will mainly a devastating economic blow to China's domestic economy has been more serious crisis; while the United States can take advantage of big war profiteering, Southeast Asia and Japan, and Korea are afraid of war spread, will hand a large number of arms dealers to purchase arms from the United States U.S. arms industry's rapid growth to growth in other U.S. industries, so that the United States walked out of economic crisis. From a political perspective, the serious deterioration of the economic crisis in China, will enable the domestic political turmoil, the U.S. and its intelligence agencies to support the national anti-bodies will move quickly to implement its split China, the color of revolution, social upheaval and conspiracy, China may again into the state of division and strife into any of the powers of a sheep slaughtered. In addition, the peaceful settlement of the Taiwan issue for many years the efforts and achievements, will the local impact of the war because of this melt into thin air.

Full-scale war. I think that the war to a relatively small chance of total war, total war breaks out, Americans have sent the army and the PLA Marines, while in the Marines on the Americans do not have much chance of winning. And the alien invasion in the territory of the Chinese nation will surely become an unprecedented unity, the Americans trying to split China's ambitions are harder to achieve. Even if the American Marines to victory, its purposes, the Americans only wanted to become a live sheep in China, but do not want China to become a dead sheep. U.S. Marines fight the victory, China will be the death of the sheep, the United States does not need. From the Chinese side, do not want during the 60 years to a comprehensive peace-building after the war.

In summary, the United States before and after the provocation and a series of provocative events, in fact, considered invincible. Spy ships will not only provocative, and in the next few months, will also appear on a larger scale provocations. Based on the above analysis, people must keep a clear head, Do not take the patriotic enthusiasm of a cavity by the United States use of the old Negro Obama.

Then the Chinese how to do? I think, playing the snake hit seven inches. China should select the account is neither devils in the United States, but also the best way to deter the United States. American devils fear affected their home, we should dry their fear most. China's current military point of view, only nuclear weapons can hit the U.S. mainland, and other conventional weapons will not work. Therefore, first, China should give up the commitment to no first use of nuclear weapons; second, to send our nuclear submarine fleet from time to time exposed to the U.S. West Coast appearance; third, to adjust our land-based missiles aimed at the direction of the whole United States to the United States and other strategic objectives such as military bases.