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Taiwan JST Talk stealth fighters: F -20 strategic impact is fierce!
发布时间:2011/7/28  阅读次数:472  字体大小: 【】 【】【
Taiwan JST Talk stealth fighter (XVI, Concluded): Strategic Impact

On the next "Talk stealth fighter (XV): stealth fighter tactics and anti-system"

After fourteen technical discussions and a gossip, "stealth fighter" that should be subject also to the end of time. This one is Concluded, YST stealth fighters to be here for a summary, discuss some strategic implications, and finally return to politics.

[Column] basically the world talk about everything, but mainly a political forum, not a military forum. Military discourse is only a means of political discourse, a very important tool.

Finally, after all, to return to military issues and political issues, or military development is meaningless. Stealth fighter for the air force have a huge impact, not only stimulate new tactics, but also stimulate new technologies, but also the strategic impact. The impact of any strategy will have a direct impact on politics.

The air force in the next two decades will have a huge change, large enough to produce the re-division of the international sphere of influence, and now powers are duck in the water, YST will make a prediction to the end of this series.

(Xxvi) YST overall rating for the fifth-generation fighter

A. fighters

The fifth-generation fighter has been Luxiang only four, according to times of order, they are: F-22, F-35, T-50, J-20.

In the four fighters in, YST least favorite T-50. Russia's strength in rapid decline, T-50 and India is a joint research and development, T-50's subsequent development will be problems, only half decades later the Russian competitors.

F-22 stealth although there may be higher than the J-20 a little bit in speed is also faster than the J-20, but the J-20's maneuverability than the F-22 is much higher than the F-22 flight large, flat electronic equipment is likely to exceed at least, because the F-22 20 years ago, electronic technology.

F-35 there are a lot of problems, the biggest problem is too heavy. But the United States is the leading engine power, these problems will eventually be resolved. No F-35 air combat capability, but an excellent ground attack capabilities.

If in accordance with stealth capabilities, YST is ranked: F-22> J-20> F-35> T-50.

If we adopt the operational capability, YST is ranked: J-20> F-35> F-22> T-50.

B. Tactics

F-22 design is very advanced in twenty years ago, but now s wisdom wrong, why?

Answer: In pursuit of the ultimate stealth radar is very unwise. Betting on any single technology is very dangerous, F-22 probably can not be the test of time.

Twenty years ago, the U.S. operational thinking is:

1.F-22 in the enemy outside the country two hundred kilometers to subsonic cruise attack;

2.F-22 into the enemy territory after the start of supersonic cruise;

3 supply target information from the AWACS, F-22 launched before the target air missiles found their own GPS-guided bombs or throwing;

4.F-22 firing missiles or dropping bombs left after the turn to supersonic cruise enemy;

5.F-22 left the enemy territory after the change subsonic cruise back to base.

Above the tactical thinking, simply put, is discovered and before the enemy before the enemy opened fire, then quickly off the battlefield.

This tactic is not in the opponent early warning aircraft, in particular, there is no stealth fighter, the time is very effective. So the F-117A supersonic cruise without the ability to just relying on stealth extraordinary ability in the 1991 Gulf War to an unprecedented glorious victories. F-117A attack missions performed 1271 times, drop bombs over two thousand tons, without loss of one, no one hurt, really zero casualties. Such results have previously appeared in the stealth fighter is not imaginary, invisible enemy we say is the worst enemy.

Since then, U.S. warplanes designed to put the "stealth" as a top priority, even at the expense of mobility and communications capabilities at the expense.

But this tactic in the face of U.S. military power when there is a problem.

First, opponents also have airborne early warning aircraft, and even early-warning satellites and space radar can detect stealth fighters from the top of the invisible part of the least, which forced open the radar stealth fighters to expose themselves.

U.S. tactics is to destroy the opponent's airborne early warning aircraft, but this is not the United States patent, and likewise, the United States also would like to eliminate opponents of the U.S. AWACS. If the United States facing China, the United States may slightly at a disadvantage, because both sides with stealth fighters close to the AWACS the United States as China's air to air missile range.

Real deadly U.S. tactics where an opponent also has stealth fighter, this situation "before the enemy found the first enemy fire" tactics is not gone. First, the warring parties to find each other almost simultaneously. Worse, when the U.S. aircraft fire control radar locked when the opponent has entered the line of sight, into the traditional close combat fighting, also known as "dog fight" (dog fight), than is the mobility. "Dog fighting" is not a long-term F-22, F-22 is used in the design of the time to sacrifice mobility for stealth, F-22 J-20 once and enter the "dog fight" almost lost.

F-22 J-20 a bit like 对 of Guan Gong Li Guang. Guang good eyesight can be shot arrow, and immediately take the lives of Guan Gong; but if the stone weapons do not enter the short fight, the flexible blade will cut Guan Guang on the horse before. Of course, you can shoot an arrow before fleeing Guang, because there is not Guan Red Horse riding, most catch up, but this move is very dangerous, because Guang opportunity fleeting, shot must be very fast, can not escape have the slightest hesitation.

C. A hypothetical example of engagement

The reader may not be able to understand the tactics described above, the result, in other words, experience in the "before the enemy found the first enemy fire" tactics guiding ideology, the United States the cost and the results obtained.

YST with a practical example to illustrate, the reader will have a feeling. Of course, there must be some assumptions, YST that the following assumption is reasonable, but also the most generous on the F-22's, F-22 can have a greater advantage.

Assuming 1: F-22 and J-20 singled out and other than that neither the use of radar sensors.

Assumption 2: F-22 in front of the RCS is 0.01 square meters.

Assumption 3: F-22 and J-20 to 3 square meters of target (F-16 fighter jets and other light) detection range is 100 km.

Suppose 4: F-22 and J-20 track and lock distance is found from the target of 0.75 and 0.5.

Suppose 5: F-22 stealth better than J-20 3dB, ie, J-20 in front of the RCS is 0.05 square meters.

Assuming 6: F-22 and J-20 close to the way head to head, close to the speed of 2,000 km / hour (slightly less than twice the speed of sound).

Suppose 7: F-22 and J-20 does not do any mobile (seen the movie "after the robbery Heroes" (Ivanhoe), right? As two knights duel inside the front of the relative rush).

So, a simple calculation tells us:

Results 1: F-22 discovery, tracking and locking J-20 distance is 28.5 km, 21.4 km and 14.3 km.

Results 2: J-20 found that F-22 track and lock distance is 24 km, 18 km and 12 km.

Results 3: F-22 J-20 than discovering, tracking and locking the opponent's long distance 4.5 km, 3.4 km and 2.3 km.

Results 4: F-22 J-20 than in discovering, tracking and locking the opponent's earlier in 8.1 seconds, six seconds and 4.1 seconds.

Well, F-22 and J-20 showdown we can conclude: the

F-22 对 J-20 all the advantages of early J-20 found in 8.1 seconds and 4.1 seconds early missile launch push-button pressed.

However, if the U.S. pilots are missing this 4.1 seconds into the dog fight, then slash.

This is a bet, all F-22 high prices, difficult maintenance and ongoing problems in all bets on this 4.1 seconds.

YST personally think that 4.1 seconds is not worth, F-22 is a bad design.

D. China has mastered the design of the aircraft began to go its own way

Backward countries to catch up with advanced countries in all the time from imitation to make, the design of the aircraft is no exception. China's fighters go a long way and very hard to imitate, Russia, the United States, Britain and Israel have done a teacher in China, today China has finally mastered it, and began to go its own way, J-20 is a representative with Chinese style .

YST continent's most recognized hero test pilot Lei Qiang Chinese design with calligraphy to describe the way traversed by aircraft.

Lei Qiang said:

"We designed aircraft like the students learn to write.

Generic F-6, F-7 is the science block, and then in the design of the JH-7 when he started to write Xingkai a;

To develop the J-10 we started on some many places to explore on their own play, is cursive;

To the fourth generation machines, we will not have to be copybook restrictions, self-contained it! "

That is, J-20 is China's original, unique style with Chinese stealth fighter!

(Xxvii) Chinese J-20 stealth fighter of the strategic impact

A. China in 2020, dominated the second island chain in the sky

YST J-20 photo to see the first impression is the "big", see below:

Figure 42: China J-20 stealth fighter side

YST seen close to the U.S. fighter-bombers F/A-111, J-20's stature ratio immediately reminded me of it, mind has been contemplating J-20's design philosophy is not the emphasis on attack. The first estimate of J-20's fuselage length of about 22 meters, close to F/A-111, then there are "experts" with some indigenous methods to export J-20's fuselage length of only 18 meters, with the F-15 and F- 22 almost. But these are subjective speculation, J-20 size is only the size of the Chengdu Aircraft Corporation to manufacture its final say.

YST still tend to present J-20 than F-15 and F-22 fighter great, great many do not know, personally think that there are at least 20 meters. There are many advantages of large aircraft, especially China in the case of a lack of strategic bombers, fighter of the large R & D is especially attractive. Large aircraft the following benefits:

1 large head, you can install more than the F-22 antenna to increase detection range;

2. Carry more fuel, greater range;

3 bomb bay to carry a greater long-range missiles and a huge variety of precision-guided bombs.

The above three points to the second point the most important. However, J-20 may also take many forms, some tank shells increase, some increase the oil tank, as different applications, anyway, too many great benefits of the fuselage, can develop different variants, such as tactical bombers, electronic war machine, and so on.

J-20 combat nature mainly depends on its engine:

If the Russian AL-31, the thrust is only 12 tons, then the J-20 is a bomber or ground attack aircraft;

If you use too developed their own line of engines, the thrust of 15 tons, then the J-20 fighter jets bombing is biased;

If you are still using their own R & D in the WS-15 engine (I heard the name "Mountain"), thrust almost 19 tons, then the J-20 is a real battle with the bombing of dual-use all-around fighter.

J-20 Chinese mainland to expand is very smart. Fitted with different engine thrust, J-20 can have different combat missions, not to mention the engine is a continuing research and development work, as long as the ongoing efforts (never stop), thrust 19 tons of "Mountain" is a matter of developed , the current strength of some successful years. However, if the J-20's fuselage made small (for example, only 18 meters), then no matter what the engine mounted on it can only be a fighter. J-20 before the scheduled time, there are six years into the military, we'll see.

J-20's length is critical. If the J-20 can reach 20 meters, YST that the J-20's combat radius is likely to more than two thousand kilometers, to include Guam attack radius, which is very key strategic indicators. J-20's carrying a huge bomb attack large compartment suitable for supersonic cruise missiles, surface vessels and heavy self-guided torpedoes, J-20 stealth particularly suitable for longer range air to air missile attacks on airborne early warning aircraft.

F-15, F-35 and F-18EF not J-20 opponent, F-22 barely be rivals, but a lot of problems of its own, a real combat capability is very problematic.

2020 was a milestone in China's air combat capability, J-20's remote island chain in the second flight will dominate the sky.

Any first island chain and the second island chain blockade China bashing has always been a false proposition, in addition to Taiwan, the island chain on the other islands are small islands and reefs defenseless, there is no strategic value, as long as China's navy and air force strength U.S. and Japanese naval and air through, island chain is vain. J-20 and Chinese aircraft carrier battle groups with a strong will not put the two island chains in the eyes.

J-20 get one hundred United States, Japan sets the coalition.

B. United States arms sales to Taiwan has no meaning

Military imbalance across the Taiwan Strait has long been the 1990s began to tilt to the mainland, Taiwan today completely on the defensive posture.

Purely on military defense, the military air force in the first line, as long as the military air force are suppressed (not to mention being eliminated), naval air superiority is not powerless, waiting for the PLA land. Once the People's Liberation Army's main battle tank landed on Taiwan, all of the effective resistance will not exceed seven days, most likely the end of three days.

Taiwan is too small, too narrow strait, Taiwan's defense rely on today's Air Force, Air Force collapse on the whole collapse, like falling dominoes same.

Since the People's Liberation Army is equipped with Su-27 air superiority over Taiwan will lose, know a little bit out of the military have to see.

J-10 appears, Taiwan's air force is in an absolute disadvantage. Taiwan striving to buy F-16CD is justified, because the latest type of F-16CD and J-10 can barely give it a try but not good. F-16CD actually save Taiwan, Taiwan's only hope at this time is that the U.S. military to intervene and sent ace fighter F-22. Taiwan F-22 myth is not only trying to be very natural and necessity.

J-20 appears, there fear of Taiwan, which is, of course. Think about it, even the U.S. to be helpless in Taiwan can be done?

This time has no meaning U.S. arms sales to Taiwan what to buy weapons of war across the Taiwan Strait will not have any impact, a little bit not to spend this money equal to the lost water.

Taiwan can do is spread lies and nonsense:

1 propaganda J-20 F-22 is far worse than the (Song Zhaowen Colonel);

2 Chinese Academy of Sciences of the mysterious "magnetic" borrow to make J-20 (Song Zhaowen Colonel);

3. "Sky Bow III" as long as the radar can be coupled with a good deal with J-20, but he did not know "good radar," where (Defense Minister Gao Hua-chu).

From a purely military perspective, Taiwan's support, but by 2020, but the U.S. military support in East Asia 2020.

C, Taiwan and the Korean Peninsula as part of China's sphere of influence

F-22 crash occurred four times, four are different reasons.

The first crash occurred in September 19, 2003 during the flight, the pilot ejected safely.

The second crash occurred in the December 20, 2004 aircraft failure, pilot ejected safely.

The third crash occurred in March 25, 2009, Colonel pilots killed.

Fourth crash took place in November 17, 2010 training flight, the plane crash.

Identify the reasons for the recent crash was caused by a problem with oxygen supply system pilot syncope, oxygen supply issue is resolved in the F-22 technology is limited to 7,000 altitude 600 meters actually have all F-22 grounded.

The F-22 is constant, severe with flight control software design errors caused by just taking off in the low-down dramatic ups and downs finally crashed on the runway, a slight, there is a screw due to vibration and loosening caused by the canopy can not be opened must be saw to drill out the pilot saw; temporary problem with the oxygen supply system problems, long-term issues must all be strong enough to recall the fuselage for structural strengthening works, which is a costly (each requires one thousand three hundred million). Recently it was rumored that the canopy problem, every one hundred hours on the flight needs to be replaced, which is gold-plated high-tech canopy, each worth millions of dollars, need to be replaced so often more like it?

F-22 over-the myth, while China's technology was too belittle or deliberately ignored. In fact, China's aircraft design and its unique attractions, such as mainland China's engineers on the flight control technology that China leads the world. J-10 flight is computer-controlled (fly by wire), up to now there is no loss from the test flight had an airplane, the world record, the Western countries do not fall do not fly by wire aircraft.

F-22 may be performance, but it's fatal is that operational inefficiencies, in the recent war in Libya, a golden opportunity for the absence of F-22 actually, this is inexcusable. Air raids Libya is such a rare opportunity for the weak, F-22 low-risk but can give a real combat training opportunity which is certainly what ulterior reasons. Obviously the concern is the United States can not afford a loss on the battlefield, F-22, F-22 it will destroy the myth, it would seriously affect the centripetal force of the U.S. client state and future U.S. aircraft sales. But technology is always to face the reality of, F-22 is not so brave U.S. military propaganda. Once the war is really the United States and China, F-22 will come in handy and get much of what kind of battlefield effects are doubtful.

Regardless of how many F-22 issue, in addition to F-22 can match the United States to have no J-20 fighter, which not only cause the U.S. problems, but also caused problems for all U.S. allies, such as Japan and South Korea. The two countries are eagerly waiting for F-35, but U.S. military experts have not recognized F-35 J-20 opponent.

So even if Japan and South Korea a few years to buy F-35 has also been left behind, this F-35 buy or not buy it?

If you do not buy the F-35, Japan and South Korea have any other choice?

The answer is: no.

In the case of F-35 within the foreseeable future, the recent U.S. tried to sell the latest version of F/A-18EF Japan to replace the aging F-4 and F-15J. To be honest, this is Japan's current best choice, but it can withstand the J-20 it?

Japan defeated the United States said F/A-18EF J-20 no problem.

YST said it was a joke. No joke, F/A-18EF even J-10B are not resist.

Japan and South Korea must face the reality of being part of China's sphere of influence, especially South Korea, Taiwan, needless to say.

(Xxviii) to predict the future

A. United States today are real concerns

Gates first said in 2020 China will have the fifth-generation fighter, not surprisingly, over the past six years to determine the United States to China is rarely correct.

But Americans are very pragmatic, see J-20 in the January 11, 2011 flight, Gates immediately correct that China's J-20 in 2020 when the possible deployment of 50, to the 2025 deployment of 200 or so.

YST basic corrections Gates agreed statement, J-20 probably only produce 200. After 2025, mainland China will focus on sixth-generation fighter.

The reader would ask: What is the sixth-generation fighter?

Answer: Most strategists believe that the sixth-generation fighter aircraft are no more intelligent, but there is a space fighter that the military strategist. YST consent is a saying, but do not think that UAVs can replace manned aircraft.

Gates said the United States in 2016 will have 325 F-35, 2020, the United States will have 850 fifth-generation fighter, 2025 to 1500.

YST that the Gates of the U.S. fifth generation fighter estimate is too optimistic, F-35 flight test in 2016, probably not yet completed, of course, the United States can not complete a full test in the case of the mass production. But more importantly, the F-35 is too expensive, the U.S. government the brink of bankruptcy, not so much money to buy 1500.

F-35 R & D were designed to replace the F-22 because the price of $ 140 million price is too much for the United States. According to the American [Aviation Week and Space Technology] 16 December 2010 reports, F-35's rising prices, the Defense Department last year to say the following:

F-35A (conventional takeoff and landing) is priced at $ 111.6 million;

F-35B (short takeoff and vertical landing) is priced at $ 109.4 million;

F-35C (block landing catapult take-off type) is priced at $ 142.9 million.

Past history tells us that manufacturers will definitely play the old tricks, let Congress hook, until the real start production coupled with the price, so its price is almost guaranteed to be much higher than the above estimates because the government has no other choice. In fact, this can not completely blame the manufacturers, the U.S. aircraft is so expensive is because the U.S. military, the result of blind pursuit of high-tech, short-term tactical thinking this will not change.

YST guess, too much pressure the U.S. government's deficit, so the F-35 will only produce half the original number, then the other half from the F-15 and F-18's modified to replace.

F-35 to the allies to bring the same problem, the economic downturn of the European countries can not afford full F-35's high prices, Asian nations about Japan's ability to purchase only. Finally, these countries bought or will buy, but the number will be reduced.

YST that the F-35 production in 2017, the price will be close to two hundred million U.S. dollars one. If the United States insisted on the economic policy of quantitative easing and thus appear QE3 and QE4, then the F-35 price certainly exceeded 200 million, three hundred million are possible.

More importantly, buy the F-35 air superiority can not be obtained. F-35 J-20 will be fully suppressed, in terms of Japan and South Korea have not bought already behind, bought what?

J-20 symbolizes the end of the U.S. air superiority.

Gates's concern is justified. Think about it, F-22 from the first test flight (1990) to formally Army (2005) took 15 years. J-20 if the 2017 harvest the military, so this time it only took 6 years. China developed so fast, the United States, or fear, can not worry about it?

B. United States air force superiority in the end of 2030

Recalling its previous YST write articles:

"Tiger on the world trend: large-scale ballistic missile attack surface ships (XI, Concluded)" (2010/10/25)

.

The above article, they talked about the three key U.S. war time, which it clearly to the 2030 Chinese Air Force, or both days with the U.S. military at least unchanged, there may be exceeded. YST when writing Chinese stealth fighter is not open, so it is not that J-20 first flight only say so.

The development of technology have a certain track to be found, YST judgments based on the breadth of R & D in China and maturity in the next decade will be the continent's scientific and technological achievements outbreak. We will see.

2030 is the sixth generation of Chinese fighter appears, is very large aircraft (equivalent to 747), and large transport aircraft (equivalent to U.S. military C-17) appeared. Mainland China will have at least two kinds of stealth fighter (a heavy, a medium-sized), a heavy strategic bombers and stealth countless variety of unmanned aerial vehicles (non-stealth and stealth, armed and unarmed).

UAVs in the future air combat will play an important role. UAV research and development in mainland China to invest a lot of manpower and funding, R & D types can be described as everywhere, the most representative is the "Grand" (reconnaissance) and "Dark Sword" (fighters), see below.

Figure 43: China's long-range unmanned reconnaissance aircraft, "Grand."

Figure 44: China's unmanned aircraft, "the dark sword," it must be invisible.

China has made it clear that in the future will be the use of unmanned air combat fighter. Readers need to understand that once the actual UAV join battle, the tactical air combat becomes very complicated, especially for the stealth fighter a serious threat. Betting in the United States three decades formed the tactical stealth fighter will face new challenges, YST is not optimistic about the F-22.

The reader would ask: U.S. unmanned aircraft will have a threat on the J-20 ah?

Answer: Yes, it would have to see who played golf consumed. War has always been a war of attrition, the fight is productivity. Guess which country will be bankrupt U.S.?

YST to determine when the Chinese launch of the sixth-generation fighter, the U.S. air force superiority will close.

After World War II, the United States dominate the world with the leading weapon, also used as a tool composed of expensive weapons and political alliances to maintain its arms industry. But when the expensive weapons is no longer leading performance, the consequences are disastrous. Vassal state of the loyal heart began to shake, to appease the United States has no financial and technical capacity, which is the dilemma facing the United States, only strategic end contraction.

J-20, although a single weapon, but the impact of U.S. global hegemony is huge, the United States will certainly pay a political price.

Think about it, get Chinese J-20 used in Asia, with the J-10 get the second world, with the FC-1 (Fierce Dragon) get the Third World, Europe had many complaints on the United States, the United States, what is left of world hegemony ?

U.S. first to laugh, because it invented the stealth fighter. But, who would have the last laugh?

C. China in 2030 announced that the Chinese version of the "Monroe Doctrine"

December 2, 1823, President Monroe (James Monroe) speech, the vernacular language content with the YST is:

America is the American people of the Americas, you do not come to these European countries to meddle in things American.

The above address is the history of the famous "Monroe Doctrine" (Monroe Doctrine).

Historically, the United States in 1776, when independence is a weak country, the British troops burned the U.S. Capitol, France, Germany, Russia, Spain, the European powers are not looked down on the United States, the United States can only endure , because we know our own strength is not strong enough. But by Monroe as president, he thought the U.S. already has considerable strength, can not allow Europe to the Americas competing interests. So in December 2, 1823 issued the famous "Monroe Doctrine", solemnly declare that the U.S. sphere of influence, does not allow the violation of European countries.

"Monroe Doctrine" is no trivial matter, this is a zero-sum game, a direct violation of the interests of all powers, certainly cause anger and resentment among the powers, so that its sphere of influence of any country must have sufficient force to perform. For example, Spain would not buy the U.S. account, then 1898 happened, "the Spanish-American War." The results of Spain's defeat, not only out of Cuba and Puerto Rico Americas, Asia and the Philippines was ceded to the United States.

The United States is relying on air superiority fight, lose air superiority the U.S. military is basically fighting the remaining half. So when the United States in 2030, China no longer has the air superiority of the time, that U.S. forces should withdraw from the Asian time. This re-division of spheres of influence through diplomatic negotiations, it can be resolved by a regional war. Either way, China must be given to the world of formal diplomatic declarations.

YST that by 2030, China already has the strength of any country western beat, the birds endure a hundred ninety gas should be close. No matter who did the leaders of China should be at this time that the Chinese version of the "Monroe Doctrine", all the powers of the forces were expelled from Asia, to establish China's leading position in Asia and dominate the Asian affairs.

D. U.S. forces will withdraw completely by 2050 in Asia

The division of spheres of influence is to go through the test of time, the Western powers will not be convinced of China's "Monroe Doctrine", Japan and India will challenge China to draw the Western powers. This time the Chinese military must establish their own sphere of influence, military conflict is inevitable, to see how the.

Think about it, "Monroe Doctrine" was announced, over 75 years has taken place, "the Spanish-American War."

Think about it, and only through the "American War" The U.S. really established her sphere of influence in the Americas.

Think about it, only the United States through World War II, she was really established in the global sphere of influence.

War is not all bad, because only through war to obtain peace is the most stable and most enduring.

Do not talk about "the army attack plan," "the most under siege" and "not fighting the enemy's soldiers," the major principles. If there are no preparations for war and a war at the determination of "the enemy without fighting the soldiers' is empty, even the people of Taiwan are not satisfied with China, let alone Americans.

Jungle world is very real, do "spineless" not only useless but also the revival of the Chinese were looked down upon. China should get back to her first, to restore the reputation and spheres of influence after the Han and Tang talk about virtue and morality.

Western countries, including Japan, are superficial overbearing state, their character is aggressive, predatory, and even their religion are also exclusive (the Lord is the only true God, other religions are heresy ), how could a fair treatment of foreigners and infidels? So West led the world will never be a fair world, it must be constantly disputes, armed conflict continued.

American hegemony is structural, because the United States away from the world's population and cultural center of the Eurasian continent, the United States not only need to become a global hegemon, and must provoke and disturb the order of the Eurasian continent in order to maintain their "mediation" status, or The king does not make sense, but also not any good fishing.

The Chinese nation is not an aggressive nation, nor believe in a strong exclusive religion. But in this jungle world beyond our control, China is only through the war (there is no other way) to establish the rule of a benevolent world, then the dispute will be the world much less than it is now, this is * Hu Jin Tao mouth * "harmonious society." If you can do this, is China's greatest contribution to the world peace. In addition to China, and no country has such a military and cultural forces to build a harmonious world.

Recently, the U.S. talk about "return to Asia", this is a false proposition. Perry, the U.S. Navy from 1853 led by General advanced steam-powered fleet into Edo Bay, Japan ("Black Ship events"), the U.S. forces never left Asia. Today, the Obama administration emphasized that "return to Asia" is nothing but just build more military power in Asia, especially East Asia. This also allows us to deeply understand China's rise is not possible through peaceful means, there is no this and other cheap things. Think about it, go fight fight American hegemony down, hand over what people?

Western imperialism in Asia, but the days are numbered, the U.S. high-tech weapons in China by 2030 will be fully suppressed, the United States out of the Asian sphere of influence is the trend irreversible.

E. China's rise is a return to the historical norm

The Chinese nation is characterized by wisdom, diligence and courage, the world can not find the second.

U.S. forces to dominate the world today is an unusual phenomenon, which makes a World War II, the Eurasian continent, picking up a cheap broken by the United States, especially in China's domestic war from 1840 to 1949 and never stopped.

China's rise is not a miracle, but to return to the Chinese nation for thousands of years the inherent position on Earth, the world's leading position.

A hundred years, Western countries continue to boast that technology is not it? What kind of this technology? Chinese people can not learn it?

Think about it, China Southern and Northern Dynasties mathematician Zu (AD 429 - 502) 1500-year-pi has been calculated at 3.1415926 and 3.1415927, between the seventh and accurate to the decimal point to find 22 / 7 and 355 / 113 which two approximations; Zu of the Moon around the globe is 27.21223 days, accurate to the fifth decimal point (today astronomers recognized the value is 27.21222 days). Chinese mathematics and astronomy such a brilliant time, Western scientists in there?

Universally known the splendid culture of the Song Dynasty, China's science and technology even though the Ming dynasty is the world's leading shipbuilding technology, marine technology, artillery technology peerless. When the Spanish "Armada" If you run into Zheng He's fleet will be lost.

While the Chinese nation due to its weak political corruption, but the Western powers, the Chinese invasion and war no breathing time and the opportunity to revive the most important reason.

In going through 110 years of war devastation and loss of 5.88 million square kilometers of land, the Chinese finally win six decades of peace-building, the world situation changed instantly.

If mid-century (a full one hundred years) can not return to the Han and Tang Chinese place in the world, then we really unworthy of the ancestors.

In the absence of major war occurred under the assumption of, YST that China's national strength and military force in 2030 will reach the undisputed world.

Then China needs 20 years to establish their own sphere of influence in Asia and international status, preferably through a regional war, because the division of spheres of influence after the war, the most practical, most powers convinced.

2050, U.S. forces will be completely out of Asia, even in other countries can not afford to challenge China's leadership status. This time is the great rejuvenation of the real arrival.

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